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2009-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Evansville Purple Aces Northern Iowa Panthers Spread Result
Elo 25.0% 75.0% -
Bradley-Terry 22.2% 77.8% -
Margin 11.9% 88.1% +11.0 (4.0 off)
Pythagorean 26.0% 74.0% -
Efficiency 40.2% 59.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.3% 81.7% -
Log Adjusted 18.1% 81.9% -

Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers +7 (69-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Evansville Purple Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Ely 39 11-22 0-2 4-4 4 2 0 0 2 26 8 -
N. Garner 37 4-7 0-0 0-1 4 3 1 0 4 8 5 -
J. Holsinger 31 2-5 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 5 -5 -
K. Williams 31 4-7 1-3 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 9 8 -
P. van Tongeren 20 1-4 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 1 0 4 6 -
K. Lacey 19 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 2 3 -
J. Haarsma 18 1-2 0-0 4-6 5 0 0 0 0 6 9 -
C. Hopf 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Farokhmanesh 32 2-4 2-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 6 5 -
K. Ahelegbe 29 4-10 0-0 9-10 2 4 0 0 4 17 9 -
J. Eglseder 28 6-10 0-0 8-10 13 1 0 4 2 20 26 -
J. Moran 27 2-7 1-5 2-2 2 1 1 0 1 7 3 -
A. Koch 26 2-7 2-4 1-2 3 3 0 1 2 7 5 -
L. O'Rear 25 1-2 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 1 2 3 5 -
T. Brown 23 3-5 1-1 2-2 1 1 1 0 0 9 7 -
K. Dunham 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
B. Haak 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Rodenberg 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter