Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | UL Monroe Warhawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.9% | 12.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 75.7% | 24.3% | -6.3 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UL Monroe Warhawks -3 (63-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.