Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | UL Monroe Warhawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.2% | 69.8% | +5.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 65.1% | 34.9% | -3.4 | ✗ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UL Monroe Warhawks +1 (64-63). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Boone * | 35 | 6-15 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Ifeanyi Koggu * | 35 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Eric McKinney * | 33 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Daniel Bryant * | 33 | 5-13 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | - |
| JeJuan Brown * | 22 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Yima Chia-Kur | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Shawn Morgan | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| P.J. Keaton | 10 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Larry Handy | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
UL Monroe Warhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afam Nweke * | 37 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Malcolm Thomas * | 33 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Dynile Forbes * | 32 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Brandon Williams * | 24 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Rudy Turner * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Lawrence Gilbert | 26 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Kenneth Averette | 15 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Jarvis Hill | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter