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2009-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Towson Tigers George Mason Patriots Spread Result
Elo 16.4% 83.6% -
Bradley-Terry 26.9% 73.1% -
Margin 19.4% 80.6% +7.8 (4.2 off)

Actual: George Mason Patriots +12 (71-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Towson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Hairston 35 8-15 3-4 0-2 12 1 2 3 2 19 20 -
B. Morris 23 1-3 1-2 2-2 3 4 0 0 0 5 9 -
T. Franklin 23 2-7 0-4 0-0 2 4 1 0 4 4 0 -
T. Crossin 22 2-4 2-4 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 6 4 -
R. Coleman 19 1-6 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -4 -
J. Smith 16 2-4 0-2 1-2 2 0 0 1 1 5 3 -
T. Durant 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
R. Nwankwo 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Lee 13 1-4 0-1 6-6 4 0 0 0 1 8 7 -
J. Thornton 12 4-8 2-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 10 2 -
D. Brewster 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

George Mason Patriots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Long 35 3-6 1-3 4-6 2 1 2 0 4 11 6 -
D. Monroe 32 6-12 0-0 1-1 9 2 1 1 1 13 13 -
J. Vaughan 32 2-8 2-4 3-6 8 2 0 0 2 9 9 -
D. Smith 32 5-10 1-4 2-3 1 0 0 0 2 13 2 -
L. Birdsong 23 4-4 0-0 2-2 4 0 1 0 0 10 11 -
A. Cornelius 17 3-4 2-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 8 5 -
M. Morrison 15 2-5 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 5 2 -
C. Fleming 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
I. Tate 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter