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2009-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Samford Bulldogs Appalachian State Mountaineers Spread Result
Elo 40.0% 60.0% -
Bradley-Terry 40.6% 59.4% -
Margin 30.4% 69.6% +4.6 (13.6 off)
Efficiency 94.8% 5.2% -

Actual: Appalachian State Mountaineers -9 (63-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Samford Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Montgomery 33 5-8 1-3 6-6 3 5 4 0 6 17 15 -
A. King 32 6-9 4-7 4-5 3 0 3 0 1 20 16 -
J. Davis 30 3-8 1-4 0-1 5 2 2 0 1 7 7 -
J. Bedwell 28 4-6 2-4 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 10 9 -
B. Friday 27 1-7 0-2 5-6 6 1 1 0 5 7 3 -
J. Griffin 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
C. West 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Merritt 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
M. Friday 8 2-2 0-0 1-1 2 1 0 0 2 5 4 -
G. Bermudez 7 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 3 0 0 1 2 4 -

Appalachian State Mountaineers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Sims 37 3-10 2-6 2-2 2 2 1 0 2 10 3 -
K. Brand 36 7-12 5-7 2-2 2 0 3 0 3 21 11 -
J. Hunter 29 3-6 0-0 4-6 11 0 2 0 2 10 15 -
I. Butts 22 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
Q. Dowdell 17 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 2 2 4 8 -
M. Wright 16 3-8 0-2 2-2 0 3 2 0 4 8 1 -
E. Bermudez 14 2-6 1-3 0-2 1 1 0 0 1 5 0 -
A.J. Highsmith 12 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 0 0 -
D. Hughes 6 2-3 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 3 4 -1 -
A. Williamson 6 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 -
T. Webb 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter