Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 27.3% | 72.7% | +5.4 | ✗ (23.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -18 (58-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Waller | 29 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Q. Robertson | 28 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| K. Barber | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| F. Sullivan | 27 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 18 | - |
| R. Barrett | 26 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| L. Hargrove | 26 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| D. Reed | 25 | 2-10 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| B. Knox | 12 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Stewart | 38 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| J. Varnado | 33 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 12 | - |
| R. Johnson | 33 | 3-13 | 2-10 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | - |
| D. Bost | 32 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 9 | - |
| P. Turner | 29 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| R. Osby | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Beckham | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| R. Benock | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Bailey | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Augustus | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter