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2009-02-28

Model Predictions

Model American University Eagles Lafayette Leopards Spread Result
Elo 66.5% 33.5% -
Bradley-Terry 51.1% 48.9% -
Margin 45.2% 54.8% +1.1 (8.1 off)

Actual: Lafayette Leopards -7 (68-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

American University Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Mercer 42 4-12 0-4 4-5 5 7 2 0 5 12 9 -
G. Carr 41 6-20 6-15 5-6 4 3 0 1 4 23 7 -
B. Gilmore 34 4-5 2-3 1-1 3 0 1 0 5 11 5 -
J. Nichols 26 2-3 0-0 0-2 9 0 0 0 2 4 8 -
N. Hendra 21 5-6 1-1 0-1 6 0 0 0 2 11 9 -
S. Lumpkins 18 1-2 0-0 5-10 6 0 1 2 0 7 14 -
B. Simon 17 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
F. Borden 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 4 2 -
S. Luptak 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 2 -

Lafayette Leopards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Brown 41 3-14 0-7 8-8 2 2 4 0 0 14 8 -
J. Mintz 37 3-10 0-0 3-4 5 1 1 0 3 9 3 -
M. Gruner 36 6-9 3-6 2-3 10 2 2 1 1 17 22 -
J. Kari 34 5-11 4-8 5-5 1 2 0 0 4 19 7 -
R. Willen 33 1-7 0-3 0-1 6 3 1 0 3 2 2 -
B. Wheeler 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 -
J. Mower 10 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 5 1 -
A. Orchowski 9 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
M. Koltun 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
R. Delaney 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter