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2009-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Virginia Tech Hokies Spread Result
Elo 81.6% 18.4% -
Bradley-Terry 74.5% 25.5% -
Margin 77.6% 22.4% -6.8 (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 56.6% 43.4% -
Efficiency 94.3% 5.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 87.9% 12.1% -
Log Adjusted 88.0% 12.0% -

Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies -7 (65-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Scheyer 39 5-13 4-8 2-2 4 1 3 0 2 16 9 -
G. Henderson 35 8-20 0-6 5-6 6 6 1 0 3 21 11 -
E. Williams 33 3-6 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 7 2 -
K. Singler 32 6-14 1-2 8-10 4 3 1 1 0 21 16 -
D. McClure 23 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 0 0 2 8 -
L. Thomas 22 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 2 5 -
G. Paulus 11 1-4 0-2 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 3 -1 -
B. Zoubek 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 0 -1 -

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Delaney 40 2-12 0-6 3-3 3 8 1 0 3 7 4 -
A.D. Vassallo 40 10-17 4-8 2-2 10 0 0 2 5 26 16 -
D. Hudson 35 0-4 0-1 4-4 4 2 0 0 0 4 6 -
J. Thompson 30 6-9 0-1 1-1 7 0 0 2 4 13 9 -
J. Allen 23 4-6 0-0 5-7 5 1 1 1 4 13 11 -
L. Witcher 19 1-6 0-0 0-1 5 0 0 1 0 2 2 -
T. Bell 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 0 -3 -
V. Davila 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter