Model Predictions
| Model | Sam Houston Bearkats | UT Arlington Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.6% | 59.4% | +2.1 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UT Arlington Mavericks +10 (95-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sam Houston Bearkats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Allmond | 35 | 8-17 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 6 | - |
| A. Mitchell | 34 | 2-11 | 0-5 | 2-4 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| B. Falkner | 34 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| D. Ramirez | 28 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| P. Brown | 20 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | - |
| L. Pevehouse | 20 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| D. Murray | 15 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Crow | 11 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| A. Bootle | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Kvedys | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Vereen | 36 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 16 | - |
| M. Haynes | 35 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 8-9 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 18 | - |
| R. Guignard | 34 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Brycen Long | 27 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 8-9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| T. Moffitt | 22 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| L. Reed III | 22 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| J. Smith | 13 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| T. Parker | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - |
* = starter