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2009-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Colorado Buffaloes Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 24.4% 75.6% -
Bradley-Terry 19.4% 80.6% -
Margin 8.4% 91.6% +13.2 (4.8 off)
Pythagorean 31.7% 68.3% -
Efficiency 4.0% 96.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 4.0% 96.0% -
Log Adjusted 4.0% 96.0% -

Actual: Baylor Bears +18 (75-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colorado Buffaloes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Thorne II 39 3-6 2-3 4-4 6 1 2 0 2 12 13 -
C. Higgins 38 5-11 3-5 7-9 5 1 2 1 3 20 15 -
L. Knutson 33 3-7 1-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 3 7 2 -
C. Crawford 29 2-8 1-7 0-0 3 4 0 0 0 5 4 -
J. Jackson-Wilson 28 2-3 0-0 2-5 2 2 0 0 4 6 3 -
A. Dufault 17 2-3 0-0 1-2 1 2 0 0 2 5 3 -
R. Kelley 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
T. Eckloff 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Jerrells 37 8-12 3-6 10-11 8 2 1 0 2 29 26 -
K. Rogers 33 3-6 0-0 3-4 5 1 0 0 3 9 6 -
T. Carter 33 3-8 1-5 1-2 1 4 3 0 1 8 7 -
L. Dunn 32 4-9 2-3 0-0 5 0 2 0 1 10 7 -
H. Dugat 18 2-4 0-0 1-2 1 2 0 0 2 5 2 -
M. Diene 16 2-3 0-0 1-1 3 1 0 1 0 5 7 -
J. Lomers 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -2 -
Q. Acy 12 0-1 0-0 5-6 3 0 0 0 0 5 7 -
A. Jones 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 3 -

* = starter