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2009-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs Princeton Tigers Spread Result
Elo 70.0% 30.0% -
Bradley-Terry 34.8% 65.2% -
Margin 23.3% 76.7% +6.5 (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 51.6% 48.4% -
Efficiency 86.7% 13.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 52.8% 47.2% -
Log Adjusted 52.5% 47.5% -

Actual: Princeton Tigers +8 (62-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Zampier 34 5-13 4-8 5-5 2 1 2 0 1 19 10 -
T. Pinick 33 3-4 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 1 2 7 7 -
R. Morin 30 6-12 0-0 4-5 5 2 0 0 1 16 10 -
P. Braswell 22 1-3 1-3 1-2 3 2 1 0 1 4 6 -
J. Gibson 21 1-5 0-1 1-1 3 2 1 0 0 3 4 -
P. Nelson 19 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 2 2 -
C. Andrews 18 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 3 0 0 -
G. Fiddler 18 1-1 0-0 1-3 2 1 0 0 3 3 2 -
G. Mangano 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Schroeder 40 2-7 2-4 0-0 0 3 1 0 1 6 2 -
D. Mavraides 35 6-10 2-3 2-2 6 1 3 0 0 16 16 -
M. Strittmatter 22 4-5 0-1 1-1 5 1 1 0 2 9 9 -
P. Saunders 22 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 2 4 -
D. Davis 21 4-8 2-6 2-2 0 1 0 0 2 12 3 -
Z. Finley 20 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 1 2 2 3 -
J. Briggs 19 2-4 1-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 5 3 -
P. Buczak 19 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 6 5 -
K. Maddox 2 0-0 0-0 4-4 1 0 0 0 1 4 4 -
B. Foley 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter