Model Predictions
| Model | Columbia Lions | Dartmouth Big Green | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.5% | 53.5% | +0.8 | ✓ (13.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 95.1% | 4.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dartmouth Big Green +14 (67-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Columbia Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K.J. Matsui | 35 | 7-11 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 9 | - |
| J. Miller | 34 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 17 | - |
| N. Agho | 33 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -1 | - |
| K. Bulger | 33 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| P. Foley | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Egee | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Johnson | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Z. Crimmins | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| I. Mase | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Crockett | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Trepanier | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Dartmouth Big Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Barnett | 33 | 7-12 | 3-7 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 16 | - |
| M. Sanders | 27 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| R. Pride | 26 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| J. Trotter | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Rufful | 22 | 0-8 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | - |
| K. Graeber | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| R. Dixon | 17 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| E. Fitzgerald | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| H. Kouna | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| C. Weeden | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| D. Biber | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Crecco | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Mathis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter