Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Creighton Bluejays | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.8% | 92.2% | +13.6 | ✓ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Creighton Bluejays +4 (74-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Holloway | 34 | 4-13 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| O. Eldridge | 34 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 6-9 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 14 | - |
| C. Oguchi | 32 | 6-13 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 28 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| L. Phillips | 28 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 9 | - |
| B. Sampay | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| S. Odzic | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Rubin | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| L. Shipley | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
Creighton Bluejays
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Woodfox | 27 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 16 | - |
| P. Stinnett | 27 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 7-10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 14 | - |
| J. Dotzler | 21 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| C. Witter | 21 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| J. Carter | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| C. Harriman | 20 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| K. Walker II | 17 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| A. Young | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| K. Lawson Jr. | 14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -1 | - |
| C. Millard | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| K. Korver | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter