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2009-02-28

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 19.9% 80.1% -
Bradley-Terry 20.3% 79.7% -
Margin 11.4% 88.6% +11.3 (14.3 off)
Pythagorean 47.1% 52.9% -
Efficiency 52.3% 47.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.9% 61.1% -
Log Adjusted 38.7% 61.3% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats -3 (70-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Mitchell 40 9-13 1-2 2-2 8 2 5 0 3 21 20 -
B. Spencer 39 6-12 4-7 0-0 0 3 2 0 2 16 7 -
M. Thornton 38 8-23 2-7 5-6 9 4 0 0 2 23 11 -
G. Temple 25 0-3 0-1 1-2 1 1 0 3 1 1 2 -
S. Warren 18 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 2 0 0 2 -
T. Martin 18 3-4 2-3 0-0 1 1 1 1 1 8 7 -
C. Johnson 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
Q. Thornton 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
A. Farrer 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Patterson 39 12-17 0-0 4-6 9 3 1 0 3 28 21 -
J. Meeks 37 10-22 1-9 3-4 5 4 2 0 5 24 8 -
R. Harris 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 0 4 -
D. Miller 27 3-4 2-2 0-0 4 3 0 2 2 8 11 -
P. Stevenson 22 3-6 0-0 1-2 4 3 1 1 1 7 9 -
K. Galloway 20 0-0 0-0 3-4 1 2 1 1 0 3 8 -
M. Porter 17 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 -2 -
J. Harrellson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
D. Liggins 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A.J. Stewart 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Krebs 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter