Model Predictions
| Model | Eastern Kentucky Colonels | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.9% | 59.1% | +2.0 | ✓ (18.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +20 (80-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.