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2009-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Wichita State Shockers Southern Illinois Salukis Spread Result
Elo 55.2% 44.8% -
Bradley-Terry 68.9% 31.1% -
Margin 73.2% 26.8% -5.5 (9.5 off)
Pythagorean 64.6% 35.4% -
Efficiency 94.4% 5.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 63.6% 36.4% -
Log Adjusted 63.6% 36.4% -

Actual: Southern Illinois Salukis +4 (72-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wichita State Shockers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J.T. Durley 36 5-9 0-0 3-3 5 0 2 3 3 13 11 -
C. Hannah 32 9-18 5-10 3-5 1 5 5 0 2 26 17 -
A.J. Hawkins 32 4-9 0-2 3-5 1 1 0 0 4 11 0 -
R. Clemente 29 3-4 0-0 2-5 4 1 0 0 0 8 9 -
T. Murry 26 2-6 0-1 0-0 4 4 0 0 1 4 5 -
D. Kyles 14 0-4 0-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
A. Ellis 12 3-5 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
G. Hatch 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
R. Chamberlain 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
G. Stutz 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Southern Illinois Salukis

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Fay 35 3-5 1-2 6-8 4 0 1 0 1 13 12 -
K. Dillard 35 6-10 3-5 6-10 1 6 2 0 2 21 18 -
T. Boyle 32 3-5 0-0 14-15 10 0 0 0 1 20 24 -
W. Clemmons 30 2-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 4 0 4 4 2 -
J. Bocot 28 4-9 2-4 0-0 2 1 1 1 5 10 1 -
R. Hare 27 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 0 -1 -
A. Booker 11 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 4 3 -
N. Evans 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter