Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.2% | 47.8% | -0.5 | ✗ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +6 (55-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Kelly | 40 | 8-17 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 12 | - |
| J. Cole | 36 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| D. Bawinkel | 36 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| M. Gatens | 29 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| C. Tate | 27 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Fuller | 20 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Davis | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Thompson | 40 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| C. Moore | 39 | 2-11 | 2-11 | 5-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| K. Coble | 35 | 7-14 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 16 | - |
| J. Shurna | 27 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| L. Mirkovic | 25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Nash | 20 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Rowley | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Ryan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter