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Drake Bulldogs 75
@
Bradley Braves 77
2009-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Drake Bulldogs Bradley Braves Spread Result
Elo 31.9% 68.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 33.2% 66.8% - ✓
Margin 36.4% 63.6% +3.1 ✓ (1.1 off)
Pythagorean 48.0% 52.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 45.2% 54.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 45.3% 54.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 43.1% 56.9% - ✓

Actual: Bradley Braves +2 (77-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josiah Cox 48 3-11 1-3 0-2 13 3 2 1 3 7 12 -
C. Stanley 46 4-11 1-4 0-0 1 9 0 0 3 9 5 -
J. Young 40 6-15 4-9 5-7 4 1 2 0 2 21 11 -
B. Heemskerk 38 5-7 0-1 0-0 10 3 1 0 0 10 17 -
A. Templeton 29 3-6 3-6 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 9 3 -
J. Parker 26 6-11 4-8 1-2 3 2 2 0 3 17 10 -
A. White 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 2 0 -
J. Hall 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 0 0 -
J. Baryenbruch 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
B. Eaddy 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Maniscalco 50 7-17 3-12 6-7 2 3 1 0 1 23 11 -
T. Wilson 48 5-13 0-1 11-12 9 1 6 0 5 21 19 -
C. Roberts 46 3-10 1-7 3-4 8 2 2 0 1 10 11 -
E. McCain 43 2-6 1-3 2-2 7 6 1 0 2 7 13 -
S. Singh 38 5-9 0-0 3-4 8 1 1 0 3 13 11 -
D. Collins 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 0 -2 -
D. Norris 11 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 3 -1 -
T. Brown 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter