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2009-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Notre Dame Fighting Irish UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 2.7% 97.3% -
Bradley-Terry 36.0% 64.0% -
Margin 20.5% 79.5% +7.5 (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 36.8% 63.2% -
Efficiency 12.9% 87.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 6.9% 93.1% -
Log Adjusted 6.9% 93.1% -

Actual: UConn Huskies +7 (72-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. McAlarney 40 6-13 2-8 0-0 3 4 0 0 0 14 8 -
T. Jackson 39 7-14 2-3 1-1 3 5 0 0 2 17 9 -
L. Harangody 33 7-18 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 1 4 14 -1 -
R. Ayers 32 4-12 3-10 0-0 4 0 2 1 0 11 6 -
J. Peoples 20 2-5 1-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 5 4 -
T. Nash 20 2-5 0-0 0-4 9 1 1 0 0 4 10 -
L. Zeller 11 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
Z. Hillesland 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
C. Scott 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Andree 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Adrien 37 11-15 0-0 3-6 9 2 1 2 1 25 23 -
A.J. Price 37 4-8 1-4 3-4 3 4 0 0 1 12 10 -
H. Thabeet 35 7-13 0-0 2-6 11 0 0 8 2 16 20 -
K. Walker 31 4-7 0-1 0-1 6 6 1 1 0 8 15 -
S. Robinson 25 1-6 0-0 1-2 6 0 1 0 4 3 0 -
C. Austrie 23 1-4 0-2 3-4 4 3 0 1 1 5 8 -
G. Edwards 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
S. Haralson 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
J. Lindner 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Veronick 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Bird 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Williams 0 1-2 0-0 2-2 3 3 0 1 0 4 9 -
K. Greene 0 4-9 0-0 2-5 6 2 1 1 3 10 8 -
L. Head 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
R. Montgomery 0 5-15 4-10 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 14 3 -

* = starter