Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.3% | 56.7% | +1.5 | ✗ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.1% | 8.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.2% | 8.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams -2 (79-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Danridge | 43 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| R. Martinez | 42 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 13 | - |
| D. Gary | 39 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 8-11 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 17 | - |
| D. Faris | 39 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 10 | - |
| C. Toppert | 32 | 6-13 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 11 | - |
| P. McDonald | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| N. Garth | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Wills | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| W. Brown | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - |
| A.J. Hardeman | 5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Gardner | 48 | 1-9 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| A. McFarland | 47 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| M. Walker | 45 | 12-26 | 1-6 | 8-11 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 10 | - |
| H. Perry | 34 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| T. Franklin | 30 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| M. Bocar Ba | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| A. Dunn | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Ogide | 10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | - |
| A. Nigon | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter