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2009-02-28

Model Predictions

Model USC Trojans Stanford Cardinal Spread Result
Elo 60.0% 40.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 55.2% 44.8% - โœ—
Margin 49.5% 50.5% +0.1 โœ“ (11.9 off)
Pythagorean 47.9% 52.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 64.6% 35.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 64.9% 35.1% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 49.4% 50.6% - โœ“

Actual: Stanford Cardinal +12 (75-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Hackett 40 3-9 1-2 1-2 2 6 1 0 3 8 5 -
D. DeRozan 39 6-11 1-2 1-5 3 4 1 0 2 14 9 -
T. Gibson 36 7-10 0-0 5-5 10 0 1 4 3 19 21 -
D. Lewis 33 4-12 0-1 1-3 7 2 1 0 1 9 6 -
M. Simmons 30 5-8 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 2 11 4 -
L. Washington 17 1-1 0-0 0-4 3 1 1 0 1 2 5 -
D. Smith 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
N. Vucevic 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Stanford Cardinal

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Goods 34 7-10 3-5 3-3 4 2 0 0 3 20 13 -
L. Hill 31 4-11 0-1 6-6 5 2 1 0 2 14 9 -
M. Johnson 30 2-5 2-3 4-4 2 4 0 0 3 10 8 -
L. Fields 29 2-7 2-4 0-0 2 4 0 0 3 6 2 -
J. Owens 25 3-6 0-0 0-0 10 1 0 1 2 6 10 -
K. Brown 20 4-10 4-7 2-2 5 0 0 0 0 14 9 -
J. Green 12 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 -1 -
D. Shiller 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Mann 4 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
J. Trotter 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
W. Paul 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Dildy 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter