Model Predictions
| Model | Pacific Tigers | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.8% | 45.2% | -1.1 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -8 (58-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Kirby | 38 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| S. Willard | 33 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 8 | - |
| C. Troyer | 26 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 6 | - |
| J. Ford | 26 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - |
| B. LeDuc | 23 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| A. Brown | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| J. Doran | 15 | 4-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| T. Smith | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| C. Neimeyer | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Neufville | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Hawkins | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Lewis | 39 | 4-15 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| L. Keeler | 36 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| T. Shelton | 32 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| C. Thomas | 32 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| C. Anderson | 23 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| J. Manley | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Brown | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| W. Dipprey | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Hanson | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter