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2009-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Brown Bears Princeton Tigers Spread Result
Elo 35.9% 64.1% -
Bradley-Terry 17.5% 82.5% -
Margin 7.8% 92.2% +13.6 (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 45.7% 54.3% -
Efficiency 20.7% 79.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 39.5% 60.5% -
Log Adjusted 39.0% 61.0% -

Actual: Princeton Tigers +8 (56-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Skrelja 40 3-10 1-4 0-1 16 5 1 0 5 7 14 -
P. Sullivan 40 7-15 2-7 5-5 7 0 1 0 2 21 12 -
A. Williams 39 3-11 0-6 3-4 1 1 1 0 1 9 0 -
M. Mullery 38 5-11 0-1 1-4 7 3 0 3 1 11 12 -
G. Leffelman 29 0-4 0-3 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 0 1 -
S. Kane 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Kelly 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Taylor 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Gruber 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Kaluz 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Schroeder 37 1-6 1-2 0-0 5 7 1 0 2 3 8 -
D. Mavraides 35 5-9 4-6 0-1 3 1 2 0 1 14 10 -
P. Saunders 29 1-6 0-3 4-4 8 1 0 1 1 6 9 -
D. Davis 25 7-11 2-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 16 5 -
P. Buczak 24 5-6 1-1 0-1 5 0 4 1 1 11 14 -
K. Maddox 21 0-5 0-1 2-2 5 0 0 1 1 2 2 -
Z. Finley 17 0-4 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 1 3 0 0 -
M. Strittmatter 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 3 -
J. Comfort 4 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter