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2009-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Columbia Lions Harvard Crimson Spread Result
Elo 57.2% 42.8% -
Bradley-Terry 20.0% 80.0% -
Margin 13.0% 87.0% +10.5 (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 29.3% 70.7% -
Efficiency 79.5% 20.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 24.8% 75.2% -
Log Adjusted 24.9% 75.1% -

Actual: Harvard Crimson +9 (72-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Agho 32 5-11 3-6 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 13 3 -
J. Miller 31 1-4 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 1 1 2 7 -
K. Bulger 31 2-8 0-0 2-2 4 1 1 0 3 6 1 -
P. Foley 29 2-9 0-2 5-6 0 4 1 0 1 9 4 -
N. Scott 25 2-5 2-2 6-9 2 0 0 0 1 12 8 -
K.J. Matsui 22 2-3 0-1 2-2 4 0 1 0 1 6 7 -
S. Egee 10 2-3 1-2 2-3 0 1 0 0 3 7 2 -
Z. Crimmins 9 1-2 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
I. Mase 5 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
M. Johnson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
C. Crockett 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
D. Trepanier 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Housman 36 1-5 0-2 8-10 2 3 6 0 2 10 14 -
J. Lin 34 6-10 0-2 2-3 9 5 1 0 5 14 14 -
K. Wright 28 5-9 0-0 4-6 6 1 0 4 3 14 13 -
A. Pusar 25 4-7 1-3 0-0 7 2 0 0 2 9 9 -
E. Harris 20 2-6 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 2 0 4 8 -
M. Kenyi 20 2-6 1-3 0-0 2 2 2 0 1 5 4 -
O. McNally 19 2-4 0-1 6-6 3 3 1 0 3 10 10 -
P. Boehm 16 2-5 2-5 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 1 -
H. Martin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. Swiatek 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter