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2009-02-26

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Santa Clara Broncos Spread Result
Elo 77.5% 22.5% -
Bradley-Terry 84.9% 15.1% -
Margin 92.2% 7.8% -13.6 (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 68.8% 31.2% -
Efficiency 95.9% 4.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 95.5% 4.5% -
Log Adjusted 95.6% 4.4% -

Actual: Santa Clara Broncos -8 (73-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Bouldin 36 4-8 2-5 13-15 3 2 2 0 3 23 19 -
J. Heytvelt 35 12-17 2-2 3-5 9 0 2 2 0 29 25 -
J. Pargo 33 5-10 0-2 0-0 2 5 1 0 0 10 8 -
A. Daye 31 4-9 1-1 3-5 5 1 1 1 3 12 8 -
M. Downs 27 1-3 0-1 3-6 8 2 0 1 1 5 12 -
S. Gray 25 1-2 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 2 4 -
D. Goodson 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -
W. Foster 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
I. Brown 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Santa Clara Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Foster 40 8-22 3-11 1-1 3 3 3 0 3 20 4 -
M. Trasolini 35 6-7 0-0 2-3 6 2 0 0 2 14 13 -
J. Rahon 30 5-15 1-6 5-6 2 1 1 0 2 16 3 -
J. Bryant 25 7-9 0-0 2-2 11 3 0 2 2 16 21 -
C. Johnson 24 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 3 2 -
B. Dowdell 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 2 -
P. Petty 16 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 2 3 -
M. Santos 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 4 0 0 0 2 5 -
S. Thompson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter