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2009-02-26

Model Predictions

Model San Francisco Dons Loyola Marymount Lions Spread Result
Elo 68.4% 31.6% -
Bradley-Terry 6.1% 93.9% -
Margin 0.0% 100.0% +51.2 (47.2 off)
Pythagorean 76.5% 23.5% -
Efficiency 88.8% 11.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 78.8% 21.2% -
Log Adjusted 78.9% 21.1% -

Actual: Loyola Marymount Lions +4 (61-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Lowhorn 37 7-13 1-3 1-2 8 2 1 0 2 16 12 -
K. Vaughn 35 6-9 2-3 4-5 6 5 0 0 0 18 20 -
C. O'Brien 33 3-6 0-1 2-6 3 0 1 0 1 8 5 -
D. Bryant 33 0-3 0-2 2-2 4 0 1 0 3 2 1 -
B. Wallace 31 4-12 2-5 2-2 4 2 0 0 1 12 5 -
P. Smith 17 0-2 0-1 1-2 1 2 0 0 2 1 0 -
A. Caloiaro 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Hernandez 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Loyola Marymount Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Counts 38 4-11 3-9 2-4 3 4 0 0 1 13 8 -
K. Young 37 2-8 1-3 2-2 12 0 2 1 1 7 13 -
L. Armstead 35 4-7 0-1 2-2 6 1 0 1 1 10 10 -
M. Deric 26 1-7 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 1 0 2 0 -
V. Teel 25 3-10 0-2 2-4 1 3 1 0 3 8 0 -
J. DuBois 22 6-9 2-5 3-3 5 3 1 0 1 17 16 -
B. Sweezy 17 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 4 4 -

* = starter