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2009-02-26

Model Predictions

Model Green Bay Phoenix Detroit Mercy Titans Spread Result
Elo 90.0% 10.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 82.8% 17.2% - โœ“
Margin 86.5% 13.5% -10.2 โœ“ (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 79.5% 20.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 93.5% 6.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 93.6% 6.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 71.0% 29.0% - โœ“

Actual: Detroit Mercy Titans -16 (62-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Green Bay Phoenix

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Cotton 35 5-10 3-5 4-4 5 0 0 0 2 17 10 -
R. Tillema 29 5-10 4-6 4-6 5 1 1 0 3 18 12 -
M. Schachtner 26 5-8 1-1 3-5 3 2 0 1 0 14 12 -
R. Fletcher 26 1-4 0-1 9-10 2 4 0 1 0 11 14 -
T. Evans 24 1-3 0-1 1-2 2 4 0 1 3 3 4 -
R. Berry 22 3-5 0-0 3-6 5 1 0 1 1 9 10 -
B. Perine 20 3-4 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 3 6 2 -
B. Eaton 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 0 2 -
P. Nelson 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Anderson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Walls 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Detroit Mercy Titans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Kennedy 31 5-10 1-3 2-2 2 1 1 0 2 13 5 -
W. Payne 31 1-5 1-2 2-2 3 6 1 0 1 5 9 -
E. Stephens 27 6-12 3-5 2-3 2 4 0 0 1 17 10 -
E. Blue 24 5-6 0-0 0-2 7 0 0 0 2 10 9 -
R. Janer 22 4-11 1-6 0-0 2 2 1 0 3 9 0 -
C. Hayes 19 1-4 0-0 0-0 5 2 2 1 0 2 8 -
T. Hartfield 11 0-2 0-2 4-6 1 1 0 0 0 4 4 -
J. Fee 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Foster 8 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 3 0 -5 -
J. Bennett 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 2 -
M. Harrington 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
N. Jokic 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter