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2009-02-26

Model Predictions

Model North Texas Mean Green Arkansas State Red Wolves Spread Result
Elo 52.0% 48.0% -
Bradley-Terry 52.0% 48.0% -
Margin 51.6% 48.4% -0.3 (8.7 off)

Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves -9 (82-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Texas Mean Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Johnson 33 5-10 0-2 4-4 5 6 2 0 2 14 15 -
J. White 30 5-7 1-2 2-2 1 4 0 0 0 13 11 -
A. McCoy 28 10-14 5-8 4-4 3 1 2 0 0 29 21 -
G. Odufuwa 28 4-12 0-0 0-1 6 1 0 0 1 8 2 -
T. Thompson 25 1-4 0-0 6-6 3 2 0 0 0 8 9 -
E. Tramiel 21 3-4 0-0 3-4 4 3 1 0 1 9 12 -
H. Stewart 14 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
K. Hogans 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 2 5 -
J. Howerton 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
C. Dennis 5 1-3 1-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P.J. Keaton 34 4-8 1-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 9 4 -
I. Koggu 32 1-3 0-0 1-3 3 6 2 0 1 3 10 -
Y. Chia-Kur 30 3-13 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 0 2 9 -2 -
S. Morgan 25 7-10 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 15 9 -
J. Brown 20 2-6 0-0 4-8 5 0 0 2 1 8 8 -
L. Handy 19 5-8 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 10 9 -
D. Boone 16 6-9 4-6 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 16 11 -
D. Bryant 12 4-7 2-5 0-0 1 6 0 0 1 10 9 -
E. McKinney 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
J. Thomas 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter