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2009-02-26

Model Predictions

Model Chattanooga Mocs Appalachian State Mountaineers Spread Result
Elo 52.6% 47.4% -
Bradley-Terry 49.8% 50.2% -
Margin 40.0% 60.0% +2.2 (3.8 off)
Efficiency 3.5% 96.5% -

Actual: Appalachian State Mountaineers +6 (88-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chattanooga Mocs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. McDowell 34 6-14 3-6 1-2 0 0 1 0 0 16 3 -
N. Doaks 32 2-7 0-2 4-8 5 2 2 0 3 8 7 -
K. Hartwell 28 4-6 0-0 6-9 3 1 1 0 1 14 12 -
K. Goffney 27 5-12 1-3 2-4 5 3 4 2 0 13 15 -
K. Sheard 23 4-5 2-3 4-6 3 1 0 0 4 14 9 -
T. Patterson 18 1-3 0-2 0-0 4 5 1 0 0 2 9 -
J. Williams 15 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 5 4 -
J. Saffore 10 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
R. Taylor 6 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 0 -
C. Early 3 0-2 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Harvey 2 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Z. Ferrell 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Appalachian State Mountaineers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Brand 36 8-14 1-7 1-2 4 7 1 0 6 18 10 -
D. Sims 34 11-18 9-16 4-5 1 3 0 0 3 35 18 -
D. Hughes 31 4-6 0-0 5-5 4 5 1 0 4 13 13 -
J. Hunter 21 2-6 0-0 3-6 6 1 0 0 1 7 7 -
A. Williamson 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 0 0 8 -
I. Butts 16 5-5 0-0 2-2 10 1 1 3 0 12 22 -
A.J. Highsmith 15 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 3 2 -
T. Webb 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 0 1 -
Q. Dowdell 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 2 0 0 5 -
M. Wright 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -
J. Booth 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter