Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.8% | 46.2% | -0.8 | ✓ (13.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns -14 (67-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Vogler | 36 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 9 | - |
| K. Ware | 29 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| R. Delk | 29 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| T. Jervis | 27 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| B. Hazzard | 27 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 11 | - |
| A. Jones | 20 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Williams | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| M. Telfair | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Lee | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Gradnigo | 36 | 8-14 | 1-4 | 12-13 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 20 | - |
| T. Bureau | 31 | 4-13 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | - |
| J. Barr | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| R. Daigle | 24 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| L. Gary | 23 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 6 | - |
| T. Johnson | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| R. McCoy | 21 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| W. Lago | 8 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| C. Wallace | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Batiste | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Adeife | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter