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2009-02-26

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento State Hornets Idaho State Bengals Spread Result
Elo 26.5% 73.5% -
Bradley-Terry 36.1% 63.9% -
Margin 27.7% 72.3% +5.3 (29.7 off)

Actual: Idaho State Bengals +35 (74-39). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Eller 30 1-8 0-1 3-4 6 1 0 0 1 5 3 -
R. Adams 27 3-7 1-1 2-2 3 1 0 0 5 9 1 -
L. Leath 24 2-9 1-3 2-2 2 0 0 0 3 7 -3 -
J. Stigall 23 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 2 0 -
M. Selling 20 2-4 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 6 5 -
A. Flaggs 19 0-7 0-4 0-0 1 0 4 0 1 0 -3 -
M. Marcial 18 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 5 0 0 1 0 3 -
J. Malloy 17 2-5 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 5 1 -
D. Thomas 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Blockmon 7 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 -
A. Ward 3 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -

Idaho State Bengals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Morgan 30 5-7 2-2 0-0 4 4 1 0 2 12 12 -
M. Stucki 24 2-5 2-3 1-2 3 7 4 0 0 7 16 -
A. Kilpatrick 23 4-10 3-7 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 11 3 -
L. Steijn 23 5-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 2 3 10 9 -
D. Carson 22 4-6 0-1 0-0 3 4 1 0 0 8 10 -
S. Baldwin 20 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 -
D. Busma 19 1-1 0-0 2-3 2 1 0 5 1 4 10 -
C. Tatum 13 1-2 0-0 2-3 1 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
P. Taylor 12 2-2 0-0 3-4 0 2 1 2 0 7 10 -
F. Caspari 9 3-3 0-0 1-1 4 2 0 0 0 7 10 -
T. Taylor 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

* = starter