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2009-02-26

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Boilermakers Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 62.9% 37.1% -
Bradley-Terry 47.5% 52.5% -
Margin 37.6% 62.4% +2.8 (6.2 off)
Pythagorean 56.6% 43.4% -
Efficiency 89.2% 10.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 67.7% 32.3% -
Log Adjusted 67.6% 32.4% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +9 (87-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Hummel 39 7-13 3-8 7-7 6 0 2 0 0 24 19 -
E. Moore 31 8-17 1-7 1-2 3 2 1 0 4 18 3 -
C. Kramer 29 2-8 1-4 3-3 1 4 2 0 3 8 4 -
L. Jackson 29 3-8 1-2 0-0 2 5 0 0 3 7 3 -
M. Green 26 1-2 0-0 0-0 7 3 0 0 2 2 8 -
K. Grant 25 4-7 1-4 2-3 1 1 0 1 1 11 6 -
J. Johnson 14 1-3 0-0 4-6 4 0 0 0 2 6 5 -
B. Riddell 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Harris 35 8-15 3-5 8-11 8 4 1 0 4 27 21 -
D. Sims 34 13-16 1-2 2-3 5 2 1 2 0 29 23 -
Z. Novak 34 1-2 0-1 2-4 4 3 0 0 3 4 6 -
S. Douglass 31 2-4 2-3 1-3 1 4 3 0 0 7 11 -
D. Merritt 17 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 2 5 -
C.J. Lee 14 2-2 1-1 1-4 2 0 1 0 0 6 7 -
K. Grady 11 0-1 0-1 3-4 1 2 1 0 3 3 3 -
J. Shepherd 10 1-3 1-2 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 4 2 -
L. Lucas-Perry 8 0-0 0-0 3-4 1 0 1 1 1 3 5 -
Z. Gibson 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -

* = starter