Model Predictions
| Model | Morehead State Eagles | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.0% | 72.0% | +5.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +4 (75-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.