Model Predictions
| Model | USC Trojans | California Golden Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.3% | 57.7% | +1.7 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: California Golden Bears +3 (81-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
USC Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. DeRozan | 45 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| T. Gibson | 45 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 5-11 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 21 | - |
| D. Hackett | 45 | 9-17 | 1-4 | 7-11 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 15 | - |
| D. Lewis | 39 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| M. Simmons | 22 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| L. Washington | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| K. Wilkinson | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| N. Vucevic | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
California Golden Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Christopher | 44 | 10-17 | 2-3 | 7-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 12 | - |
| J. Randle | 44 | 3-11 | 3-7 | 6-6 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 11 | - |
| T. Robertson | 41 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| J. Boykin | 27 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| J. Wilkes | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| H. Kamp | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J. Gutierrez | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| O. Amoke | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter