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2009-02-26

Model Predictions

Model USC Trojans California Golden Bears Spread Result
Elo 68.8% 31.2% -
Bradley-Terry 48.1% 51.9% -
Margin 46.1% 53.9% +0.9 (2.1 off)
Efficiency 80.1% 19.9% -

Actual: California Golden Bears +3 (81-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. DeRozan 45 4-6 0-0 2-2 6 2 1 0 2 10 11 -
T. Gibson 45 8-12 0-0 5-11 12 0 1 2 3 21 21 -
D. Hackett 45 9-17 1-4 7-11 2 4 2 0 2 26 15 -
D. Lewis 39 3-9 3-6 1-2 3 4 0 0 0 10 8 -
M. Simmons 22 3-8 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 6 2 -
L. Washington 16 1-5 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 0 1 3 -1 -
K. Wilkinson 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
N. Vucevic 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

California Golden Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Christopher 44 10-17 2-3 7-7 3 1 0 0 4 29 12 -
J. Randle 44 3-11 3-7 6-6 2 8 1 0 4 15 11 -
T. Robertson 41 3-6 0-1 4-4 6 1 0 0 1 10 10 -
J. Boykin 27 3-3 0-0 2-4 4 1 0 0 1 8 9 -
J. Wilkes 26 3-6 0-0 0-0 5 5 0 1 1 6 10 -
H. Kamp 25 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 2 1 2 5 -
J. Gutierrez 15 2-2 0-0 5-6 1 1 2 0 1 9 10 -
O. Amoke 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter