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2009-02-26

Model Predictions

Model UCLA Bruins Stanford Cardinal Spread Result
Elo 39.7% 60.3% -
Bradley-Terry 46.9% 53.1% -
Margin 42.3% 57.7% +1.7 (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 51.4% 48.6% -
Efficiency 96.1% 3.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 77.0% 23.0% -
Log Adjusted 77.2% 22.8% -

Actual: Stanford Cardinal -5 (71-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Shipp 36 9-12 4-5 2-2 7 4 2 0 3 24 22 -
D. Collison 33 3-9 0-1 1-2 1 4 0 0 3 7 0 -
N. Dragovic 31 3-10 1-5 3-4 4 0 1 0 2 10 3 -
A. Aboya 29 6-9 0-0 4-5 3 1 0 0 0 16 11 -
J. Holiday 22 3-6 2-2 0-0 1 2 1 1 0 8 7 -
M. Roll 16 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 3 4 -
M. Lee 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 2 6 -
D. Gordon 12 3-4 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
J. Anderson 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 -

Stanford Cardinal

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Goods 35 6-10 2-4 4-5 2 3 1 1 3 18 12 -
L. Fields 34 4-11 1-3 7-10 10 0 1 0 2 16 14 -
L. Hill 33 2-8 1-2 3-3 2 6 0 0 2 8 6 -
J. Owens 25 7-8 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 14 9 -
M. Johnson 23 0-4 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 0 2 -
K. Brown 21 3-3 2-2 2-2 2 0 1 0 1 10 9 -
D. Shiller 13 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 5 1 -
J. Green 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
J. Trotter 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
D. Dildy 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter