Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.5% | 79.5% | +7.5 | ✓ (8.5 off) |
| Efficiency | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks +16 (68-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Bush | 35 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 19 | - |
| J. Rybak | 28 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | - |
| C. Jefferson | 27 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| B. Benson | 22 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| D. Moseley | 18 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| R. White | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Sloan | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2 | - |
| J. Bowman | 13 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -1 | - |
| T. Gough | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Johnson | 9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| R. Jackson | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Alexander | 37 | 5-13 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| N. Shaw | 34 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| E. Bell | 29 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Kingsley | 26 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 17 | - |
| G. Adams | 20 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| E. Williams | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| B. Akpan | 11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| W. Harris | 10 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Z. Williams | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. McDaniel | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Scott | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| A. Smith | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Davis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Falke | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. James | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter