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2009-02-25

Model Predictions

Model UTSA Roadrunners Northwestern State Demons Spread Result
Elo 49.1% 50.9% -
Bradley-Terry 54.2% 45.8% -
Margin 58.5% 41.5% -1.9 (4.9 off)

Actual: Northwestern State Demons +3 (77-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UTSA Roadrunners

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Gabbidon 29 4-11 1-4 7-8 4 2 1 1 2 16 11 -
J. Shank 26 3-6 1-4 1-4 1 0 1 0 0 8 4 -
O. Johnson 26 4-10 1-5 0-1 4 2 1 0 3 9 3 -
D. Gibson 24 2-8 0-1 9-9 3 5 6 2 3 13 18 -
M. Smith IV 22 2-6 2-5 0-0 0 2 2 0 2 6 2 -
D. Stepter 22 5-10 0-1 1-2 11 1 2 0 0 11 15 -
C. Allen 22 3-8 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 6 0 -
J. Bonney 13 1-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
L. Jackson 12 0-1 0-0 1-2 6 0 1 0 2 1 5 -
R. Frohlich 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Northwestern State Demons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Porterie 34 7-12 0-0 0-0 15 1 2 0 4 14 16 -
D. Jones 32 11-16 2-4 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 26 11 -
K. Hancock 24 5-16 2-9 0-0 0 2 2 0 3 12 -3 -
D. Knight 23 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 4 0 0 0 2 7 -
W. Mosley 23 2-4 0-0 2-4 11 0 0 5 0 6 18 -
D. Richardson 14 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 3 1 1 3 1 4 -
D. Petravicius 14 4-6 0-2 2-2 6 1 1 0 2 10 10 -
M. McConathy 13 0-4 0-3 2-2 1 1 0 0 3 2 -3 -
L. McConathy 12 1-5 1-1 0-0 2 4 0 0 3 3 1 -
A. Brooks 7 0-1 0-0 0-1 1 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
C. Clark 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 -

* = starter