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2009-02-25

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Central Eagles Longwood Lancers Spread Result
Elo 25.1% 74.9% -
Bradley-Terry 49.2% 50.8% -
Margin 47.7% 52.3% +0.5 (19.5 off)

Actual: Longwood Lancers +20 (109-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Central Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Briscoe 36 12-22 3-6 7-9 6 3 3 0 4 34 20 -
M. Glasker 35 2-6 0-1 2-2 2 6 3 0 4 6 7 -
B. Ayala 34 4-12 1-3 1-1 2 7 5 0 2 10 10 -
V. Davis 29 8-16 3-7 8-9 4 0 2 1 3 27 15 -
J. Worthy 16 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 2 2 2 5 -
N. Chasten 16 2-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 2 0 4 5 -
T. Holloway 13 2-5 0-0 0-2 6 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
R. McDonald 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
P. Branch 10 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -2 -

Longwood Lancers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Bogan 35 7-14 5-11 0-0 3 6 2 0 6 19 10 -
D. Smith 33 11-14 1-2 1-3 10 4 2 2 4 24 24 -
K. Swecker 32 5-6 4-5 0-0 3 6 3 0 0 14 20 -
D. Neil 26 1-3 1-2 2-4 2 10 1 0 6 5 9 -
B. Robinson Jr. 24 5-8 0-1 3-5 10 0 0 0 2 13 13 -
E.J. Dawson 11 3-6 0-0 2-2 2 3 0 0 0 8 7 -
A. Carter 11 4-4 0-0 2-4 6 0 0 0 2 10 10 -
M. Washington 9 3-4 3-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 9 5 -
J. Ryan 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 2 3 -
E. Gee II 6 0-1 0-1 3-4 0 3 0 0 0 3 5 -
B. Evans 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
J. van der Kooij 2 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter