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2009-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Holy Cross Crusaders Colgate Raiders Spread Result
Elo 68.0% 32.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 66.2% 33.8% - โœ“
Margin 76.0% 24.0% -6.3 โœ“ (4.3 off)
Pythagorean 70.0% 30.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 88.9% 11.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 89.1% 10.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 63.2% 36.8% - โœ“

Actual: Colgate Raiders -2 (58-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Holy Cross Crusaders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Cunningham 33 1-7 0-3 2-4 7 3 0 0 3 4 4 -
E. Meister 33 3-8 0-0 4-6 7 0 0 1 3 10 7 -
A. Beinert 32 5-10 2-3 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 12 5 -
R.J. Evans 21 4-11 0-1 1-2 4 1 1 0 1 9 3 -
D. Brown 19 5-8 0-1 3-4 0 1 0 0 3 13 3 -
A. Vander Baan 18 3-6 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 7 4 -
A. Keister 17 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 4 4 -
P. Doherty 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 0 5 -
A. May 12 0-1 0-1 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 1 4 -

Colgate Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Y. Gyawu 39 7-13 0-1 0-1 4 2 0 0 3 14 4 -
M. Venezia 34 2-8 2-8 3-4 1 1 1 0 1 9 3 -
B. Jonson 31 4-6 0-0 10-14 6 0 2 1 3 18 18 -
W. Morse 30 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 5 1 0 1 0 7 -
T. Vinson 23 2-4 2-2 1-2 2 1 1 0 2 7 5 -
A. Hill 19 2-5 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
N. Pascale 10 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 2 0 0 1 1 3 -
J. Hoban 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 3 -
B. Marfurt 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter