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2009-02-25

Model Predictions

Model George Mason Patriots UNC Wilmington Seahawks Spread Result
Elo 50.0% 50.0% -
Bradley-Terry 59.6% 40.4% -
Margin 60.1% 39.9% -2.3 (1.3 off)

Actual: UNC Wilmington Seahawks -1 (52-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

George Mason Patriots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Vaughan 37 3-11 1-7 0-0 11 2 0 1 4 7 6 -
C. Long 31 3-10 3-9 0-0 2 4 0 0 1 9 4 -
D. Monroe 30 2-3 0-0 2-4 9 2 1 0 4 6 11 -
D. Smith 27 5-10 1-5 2-2 0 1 2 0 0 13 6 -
L. Birdsong 22 1-3 0-1 0-1 4 1 1 2 1 2 6 -
A. Cornelius 19 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 2 1 -
R. Pearson 17 2-5 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
M. Morrison 10 4-5 0-0 0-1 2 1 0 0 1 8 5 -
I. Tate 7 1-3 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
C. Fleming 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UNC Wilmington Seahawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Wolf 35 2-8 1-5 0-1 5 3 0 0 1 5 4 -
C. Tomko 35 6-17 4-13 1-2 4 3 2 0 2 17 7 -
M. Downey 30 5-11 5-8 2-2 3 1 0 0 2 17 8 -
D. Mercer 29 2-3 0-0 0-1 4 1 0 0 0 4 6 -
K. Moore 25 1-6 0-3 1-4 10 1 1 0 2 3 7 -
M. Davis 14 0-2 0-0 2-2 4 4 1 0 0 2 9 -
D. Lacy 14 1-4 0-1 1-4 1 0 1 1 1 3 1 -
D. Felder 12 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 3 -
J. Sheets 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter