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2009-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Bradley Braves Evansville Purple Aces Spread Result
Elo 82.9% 17.1% -
Bradley-Terry 47.8% 52.2% -
Margin 47.6% 52.4% +0.5 (6.5 off)
Pythagorean 53.9% 46.1% -
Efficiency 68.7% 31.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 56.4% 43.6% -
Log Adjusted 56.6% 43.4% -

Actual: Evansville Purple Aces +7 (56-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Maniscalco 35 3-9 3-7 0-1 1 1 0 0 2 9 0 -
D. Collins 28 5-8 0-0 0-0 10 4 0 5 2 10 19 -
C. Roberts 28 1-8 0-4 2-3 8 2 1 2 0 4 9 -
D. Dunson 24 1-3 0-0 0-1 3 2 3 0 1 2 6 -
E. McCain 23 2-8 1-4 0-0 3 2 1 0 3 5 0 -
T. Wilson 19 2-8 1-5 1-2 3 1 0 0 3 6 -1 -
T. Brown 16 1-3 0-1 2-2 4 0 0 0 5 4 0 -
D. Norris 15 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
S. Singh 12 2-3 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 6 5 -

Evansville Purple Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Holsinger 39 6-13 3-8 4-4 2 2 1 0 3 19 8 -
S. Ely 39 3-8 0-0 8-12 2 2 0 0 1 14 9 -
N. Garner 38 3-8 0-0 3-5 10 1 2 0 1 9 13 -
K. Williams 32 2-8 0-1 0-2 6 7 1 1 3 4 8 -
J. Haarsma 27 3-7 0-0 0-1 10 0 1 0 2 6 8 -
K. Lacey 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
P. van Tongeren 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 2 1 -
C. Hopf 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter