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2009-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 16.2% 83.8% -
Bradley-Terry 45.4% 54.6% -
Margin 38.1% 61.9% +2.7 (18.3 off)
Pythagorean 55.0% 45.0% -
Efficiency 86.3% 13.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 65.8% 34.2% -
Log Adjusted 65.8% 34.2% -

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +21 (88-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Fortson 34 9-19 3-9 0-1 3 3 0 0 4 21 4 -
R. Clarke 33 6-12 4-9 0-0 2 2 0 1 3 16 6 -
M. Washington 31 5-9 0-1 2-3 8 3 2 1 0 12 17 -
S. Welsh 28 1-8 0-5 0-1 1 1 0 0 3 2 -7 -
M. Britt 20 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 3 1 0 1 2 5 -
A. Clark 13 2-5 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 4 0 -
M. Sanchez 13 0-1 0-0 4-4 4 0 0 0 2 4 5 -
B. Moore 12 2-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 4 6 -
J. Henry 11 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 2 -1 -
S. Cox 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Noland 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Gee 28 8-14 5-6 2-4 7 0 1 0 2 23 15 -
S. Hillman 26 4-10 2-4 3-4 1 7 1 0 2 13 10 -
M. Torrance 24 2-4 0-1 6-7 2 4 1 0 3 10 10 -
J. Knox 23 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 3 4 4 -
Y. Coleman 21 6-6 0-0 0-0 6 0 2 0 2 12 12 -
J. Green 20 3-5 0-0 1-2 7 0 1 1 3 7 8 -
A. Steele 16 2-4 1-1 2-5 4 0 0 0 1 7 6 -
A. Brock 16 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 2 2 -
D. Jemison 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 1 1 4 6 -
B. Hollinger 10 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 3 4 -
G. Cage 4 1-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 -

* = starter