Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Pacific Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.1% | 64.9% | +3.4 | ✓ (11.6 off) |
Actual: Pacific Tigers +15 (72-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Payne | 34 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 14 | - |
| V. Oliver | 34 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| J. Harden | 32 | 5-15 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 4 | - |
| D. Calegari | 28 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| K. Brucculeri | 22 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| D. Carter | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| R. Silva | 11 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| T. Lowenthal | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Clark | 7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| A. Malik | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Oestreicher | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Boone | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Toth | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Willard | 36 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 17 | - |
| M. Kirby | 31 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| C. Troyer | 30 | 6-12 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| J. Ford | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | - |
| A. Brown | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | - |
| B. LeDuc | 21 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| T. Smith | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| L. Neufville | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Doran | 10 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter