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2009-02-25

Model Predictions

Model UConn Huskies Marquette Golden Eagles Spread Result
Elo 89.7% 10.3% -
Bradley-Terry 56.9% 43.1% -
Margin 68.6% 31.4% -4.3 (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 55.7% 44.3% -
Efficiency 79.2% 20.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 84.7% 15.3% -
Log Adjusted 84.7% 15.3% -

Actual: Marquette Golden Eagles -11 (82-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A.J. Price 37 12-20 8-13 4-4 6 6 0 0 3 36 25 -
H. Thabeet 36 4-4 0-0 6-7 15 1 0 5 1 14 30 -
S. Robinson 29 7-14 1-1 4-4 10 2 0 0 3 19 14 -
J. Adrien 29 0-4 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 1 2 2 1 -
K. Walker 28 4-10 0-1 1-3 2 3 2 0 1 9 5 -
C. Austrie 18 1-6 0-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 2 -2 -
G. Edwards 15 2-3 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 2 5 5 -
S. Haralson 8 2-5 2-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 1 -

Marquette Golden Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. McNeal 40 9-23 3-6 5-6 4 5 2 1 2 26 13 -
W. Matthews 40 6-17 2-5 6-8 5 4 1 0 3 20 10 -
L. Hayward 37 6-13 3-7 0-0 6 0 3 0 3 15 8 -
M. Acker 33 2-2 2-2 0-0 3 4 1 0 0 6 12 -
J. Butler III 26 3-6 0-0 6-6 4 1 1 1 0 12 13 -
D. Burke 20 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 0 2 -
D. James 4 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -

* = starter