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2009-02-25

Model Predictions

Model UNLV Rebels Utah Utes Spread Result
Elo 28.5% 71.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 32.7% 67.3% - โœ“
Margin 22.6% 77.4% +6.8 โœ“ (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 44.1% 55.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 25.7% 74.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 25.5% 74.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 35.5% 64.5% - โœ“

Actual: Utah Utes +10 (70-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Willis 36 4-11 1-2 5-6 5 4 3 0 1 14 14 -
W. Adams 33 3-12 1-1 2-2 5 0 2 0 1 9 3 -
R. Rougeau 31 8-17 0-0 3-3 4 3 4 0 1 19 12 -
O. Bellfield 28 0-4 0-2 2-2 1 3 0 0 2 2 0 -
J. Darger 26 1-6 1-5 3-3 2 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
K. Wallace 19 3-4 2-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 8 6 -
M. Rutledge 18 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 3 0 0 0 2 -
D. Mitchell 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
D. Santee 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Utah Utes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Borha 35 4-8 2-5 1-1 2 2 1 1 2 11 7 -
L. Nevill 35 6-11 0-0 7-7 13 2 1 3 2 19 25 -
T. Kepkay 32 4-7 1-2 2-2 4 1 0 0 3 11 6 -
C. Brown 31 2-6 1-1 5-8 4 3 0 1 5 10 7 -
L. Drca 30 1-3 1-1 2-2 6 3 1 0 4 5 8 -
S. Green 23 4-6 3-5 1-2 1 2 1 2 2 12 10 -
K. Tillie 14 0-1 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 0 2 2 5 -

* = starter