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2009-02-25

Model Predictions

Model UNLV Rebels Utah Utes Spread Result
Elo 27.5% 72.5% -
Bradley-Terry 39.1% 60.9% -
Margin 27.4% 72.6% +5.4 (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 45.2% 54.8% -
Efficiency 63.9% 36.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.2% 64.8% -
Log Adjusted 35.2% 64.8% -

Actual: Utah Utes +10 (70-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Willis 36 4-11 1-2 5-6 5 4 3 0 1 14 14 -
W. Adams 33 3-12 1-1 2-2 5 0 2 0 1 9 3 -
R. Rougeau 31 8-17 0-0 3-3 4 3 4 0 1 19 12 -
O. Bellfield 28 0-4 0-2 2-2 1 3 0 0 2 2 0 -
J. Darger 26 1-6 1-5 3-3 2 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
K. Wallace 19 3-4 2-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 8 6 -
M. Rutledge 18 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 3 0 0 0 2 -
D. Mitchell 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
D. Santee 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Utah Utes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Borha 35 4-8 2-5 1-1 2 2 1 1 2 11 7 -
L. Nevill 35 6-11 0-0 7-7 13 2 1 3 2 19 25 -
T. Kepkay 32 4-7 1-2 2-2 4 1 0 0 3 11 6 -
C. Brown 31 2-6 1-1 5-8 4 3 0 1 5 10 7 -
L. Drca 30 1-3 1-1 2-2 6 3 1 0 4 5 8 -
S. Green 23 4-6 3-5 1-2 1 2 1 2 2 12 10 -
K. Tillie 14 0-1 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 0 2 2 5 -

* = starter