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2009-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Kansas State Wildcats Missouri Tigers Spread Result
Elo 23.6% 76.4% -
Bradley-Terry 46.1% 53.9% -
Margin 34.8% 65.2% +3.5 (16.5 off)
Pythagorean 37.1% 62.9% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 12.7% 87.3% -
Log Adjusted 12.5% 87.5% -

Actual: Missouri Tigers +20 (94-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kansas State Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Clemente 36 12-19 4-7 5-7 5 3 1 0 7 33 16 -
J. Pullen 35 2-12 2-9 2-2 4 2 1 0 1 8 2 -
R. Anderson Jr. 25 1-5 0-0 1-4 10 0 0 0 2 3 6 -
F. Brown 23 4-9 1-4 0-0 1 1 2 0 3 9 1 -
D. Sutton 21 0-4 0-1 2-4 7 0 0 0 2 2 3 -
J. Samuels 20 1-3 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 1 3 3 -
D. Kent 18 3-8 1-1 0-0 7 2 0 0 1 7 7 -
L. Colon 12 1-3 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 1 2 2 0 -
B. Awaji 7 1-3 1-2 4-5 2 0 0 0 1 7 5 -
C. Merriewether 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
V. Ojeleye 0 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Carroll 28 7-13 0-1 7-12 14 3 1 0 2 21 24 -
J.T. Tiller 25 4-10 1-1 6-7 6 6 1 0 1 15 17 -
M. Lawrence 24 4-10 3-5 2-4 3 1 1 0 0 13 8 -
Z. Taylor 23 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 0 1 -
L. Lyons 19 3-5 1-1 9-9 5 1 1 1 0 16 19 -
M. Denmon 17 1-3 0-0 4-4 2 0 2 1 2 6 6 -
L. Bowers 15 7-9 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 1 0 16 14 -
K. English 14 1-6 0-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 2 1 -
M. Paul 13 0-4 0-1 2-3 2 2 2 1 1 2 4 -
K. Ramsey 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
J. Safford 7 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 2 0 0 3 5 -
M. Anderson Jr. 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
S. Moore 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Sutton 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter