Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.4% | 74.6% | +5.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.3% | 95.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.3% | 95.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +8 (62-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Kelly | 40 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 11 | - |
| D. Bawinkel | 40 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | - |
| M. Gatens | 40 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| A. Fuller | 33 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| J. Cole | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| C. Tate | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| D. Palmer | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J.R. Angle | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lucas | 32 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| G. Suton | 30 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| T. Walton | 29 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| C. Allen | 24 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| D. Roe | 22 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| R. Morgan | 18 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| K. Lucious | 15 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| D. Green | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| M. Gray | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Summers | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Thornton | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter