Model Predictions
| Model | Duquesne Dukes | UMass Minutemen | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.8% | 41.2% | -2.0 | ✓ (15.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UMass Minutemen -17 (77-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duquesne Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Saunders | 40 | 8-18 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| B. Clark | 40 | 8-12 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 28 | - |
| A. Jackson | 35 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 3-8 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 17 | - |
| J. Duty | 33 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| E. Evans | 19 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| B.J. Monteiro | 17 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| M. Bolding | 16 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
UMass Minutemen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Gaffney | 37 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | - |
| C. Lowe | 30 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 13 | - |
| R. Harris | 27 | 5-14 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 14 | -1 | - |
| M. Glass | 23 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| A. Gurley | 22 | 5-14 | 3-10 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 5 | - |
| D. Gibbs | 19 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Bonner | 17 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| G. Correia | 15 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| T. Lynch | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter